A new note most weeks. Each one covers a peer-reviewed finding: what it found, how strong it is, and what it does and doesn't mean. Notes are filed by the level of behavior they address, the same architecture as LEVELS. If the research changes, the note gets updated and says so.
●●●●Evidence: EstablishedTrauma & the mindOct 14, 2026
Two large preregistered replications found the classic ego-depletion effect close to zero. Willpower is real; the idea that it drains like a fuel tank hasn't held up.
Hagger et al. 2016, Perspectives on Psychological Science 11(4):546–573
●●●○Evidence: SupportedPerformance & trainingOct 9, 2026
Across about 1,000 trials, physical activity produced moderate drops in depression and anxiety. The "1.5 times more effective than medication" line came from a press release, not the paper.
Singh et al. 2023, British Journal of Sports Medicine 57(18):1203–1209
●●●○Evidence: SupportedThreat physiologyOct 7, 2026
Childhood adversity raises risk across a population. As a forecast for any one person, an ACE score performs only modestly better than chance.
Felitti et al. 1998, American Journal of Preventive Medicine 14(4):245–258